Kevin O’Leary Sees Bitcoin at $1 Million, but Flags a Quantum Risk
• September 18, 2026 3:20 pm • CommentsKevin O’Leary is making a seven-figure call on Bitcoin—but he is attaching a technological warning to it.
The investor said Bitcoin can eventually reach $1 million as the asset becomes a larger part of the global financial system. In the same conversation, he pointed to quantum computing as a long-term security issue the network will have to address.
Decrypt reported on O’Leary’s forecast and the quantum caveat after his interview with The Rollup. His thesis is not that Bitcoin gets there next month or next year.
Institutional demand, tokenization and Bitcoin’s fixed supply can keep expanding the asset’s role over a much longer horizon.
O’Leary also argued that tokenization is becoming a durable financial sector, not a passing crypto theme. That matters to Bitcoin because every new institutional bridge into digital assets makes it easier for traditional capital to hold, trade and account for crypto exposure.
His warning was equally direct: a long-term valuation thesis has to account for the security assumptions protecting the network. Current quantum machines cannot defeat Bitcoin’s signatures at scale; future systems may force the network to adopt new cryptography.
THE KEVIN O’LEARY INTERVIEW.@kevinolearytv @robbieklages @andyyy
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:41 Kevin Wears $11M Ohtani Card
02:27 Tokenization Becomes The 12th S&P Sector
03:09 Kevin Was Wrong About ETH
05:30 One Exchange Will Win
07:18 Kevin Buys Uranium In His Portfolio… pic.twitter.com/xU0MhCvE68— The Rollup (@therollupco) September 17, 2026
The $1 million figure would represent more than a twelvefold move from Bitcoin’s current level around $81,000. Reaching it would require far more than another speculative cycle.
Bitcoin would need deeper adoption by funds, companies and other large pools of capital while defending its position as the crypto market’s primary store-of-value asset.
The market backdrop is helping that argument today. Bitcoin recovered above $80,000 after a difficult stretch, and on-chain analysts noted that price had moved back above an important market-cost benchmark.
$BTC has reclaimed the True Market Mean.
That puts price back above a crucial level and back into a bullish regime.
Next major overhead is the corporate treasury cost basis around $80k and finally the ETF cost basis at $85k. pic.twitter.com/oySdiazgCE
— glassnode (@glassnode) September 18, 2026
Quantum computing is the part of O’Leary’s argument that deserves careful framing. Today’s quantum machines are not capable of breaking Bitcoin’s cryptography at scale.
The concern is that a sufficiently powerful future system could threaten the elliptic-curve signatures used to authorize transactions.
That makes quantum risk an engineering and governance challenge, not evidence that Bitcoin is about to fail. Cryptographic systems can migrate to new signature schemes, but a network as large and decentralized as Bitcoin would need agreement, software changes and a practical path for users to move vulnerable funds.
O’Leary’s two points belong together. The larger Bitcoin becomes, the more incentive there is to attack it—and the more resources its ecosystem has to harden it.
A $1 million Bitcoin would imply a market valuable enough that security upgrades could no longer be treated as an academic exercise.
The near-term story remains price and adoption. Bitcoin has reclaimed the $80,000 area, institutional cost bases are back in view and tokenization is pulling traditional assets closer to crypto infrastructure.
The quantum question sits much farther out, but it is exactly the kind of risk long-term holders cannot ignore.
O’Leary’s forecast is not a timetable. It is a statement about what Bitcoin could become if adoption continues—and a reminder that getting there will require the network to evolve as the technology around it changes.
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